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Atarfe Industrial vs CD Torreperogil Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Sun, May 12, 2019
0 - 3
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atarfe Industrial host CD Torreperogil in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. CD Torreperogil have shipped 0.98 goals a game lately, while Atarfe Industrial have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.17. Head-to-head, Atarfe Industrial have won 0 to CD Torreperogil's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 12, 2019, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.54 - 0.93) back CD Torreperogil to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atarfe Industrial
15%
Draws
57%
CD Torreperogil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Torreperogil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Torreperogil have won more games recently than Atarfe Industrial.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 20%
CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atarfe Industrial CD Torreperogil
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 8 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs CD Torreperogil
0:3
Dec 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Atarfe Industrial
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atarfe Industrial 32 / 100
CD Torreperogil 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atarfe Industrial CD Torreperogil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Torreperogil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atarfe Industrial found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: CD Torreperogil conceded in 62% of 42 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: CD Torreperogil has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Torreperogil
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atarfe Industrial

(Home)
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0
Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6

CD Torreperogil

(Away)
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3 : 0
CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)