Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atenas vs Cerrito

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atenas
30%
Draws
31%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atenas have won more games recently than Cerrito.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Atenas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atenas Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atenas Cerrito
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.35 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Cerrito
0:0
Jun 7, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Atenas
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Atenas
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Atenas
0:3
Jun 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Cerrito
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atenas 42 / 100
Cerrito 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atenas Cerrito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atenas's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Cerrito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Atenas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atenas VS Cerrito
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atenas

(Home)
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
06 Sept
Atenas
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
02 Sept
Atenas
2 : 2
Penarol
29 Aug
Paysandu FC
2 : 0
Atenas
26 Aug
Danubio
3 : 2
Atenas
Page 1 of 7

Cerrito

(Away)
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Cerrito
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
Paysandu FC
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2
Maldonado
29 Aug
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Cerrito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 18 10 3 5 28:18 33
2 Plaza Colonia 18 9 3 6 24:17 30
3 Colon 18 8 4 6 19:19 28
4 Rentistas 18 7 6 5 21:19 27
5 River Plate Montevideo 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
6 Club Oriental De Futbol 18 6 7 5 24:20 25
7 Fenix 18 6 7 5 22:20 25
8 Cerrito 18 6 7 5 22:20 25
9 Paysandu FC 18 7 2 9 23:24 23
10 Huracan FC 18 6 4 8 18:24 22
11 Tacuarembo 18 6 4 8 13:19 22
12 La Luz 18 5 6 7 14:20 21
13 Miramar 18 4 7 7 20:24 19
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 18 4 5 9 18:25 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)