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Atenas vs Miramar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atenas host Miramar in the Segunda Division. This one's hard to separate. Miramar have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Atenas have conceded 1.26 and scored 1.42. Head-to-head, Atenas have won 2 to Miramar's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 6, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.13, favoring Atenas. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Atenas
30%
Draws
35%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atenas have won more games recently than Miramar.
  • Atenas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atenas Clean Sheet 20%
Miramar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atenas Miramar
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.42 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Atenas
1:1
Nov 21, 2023 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Atenas
0:1
Jul 8, 2023 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Miramar
0:0
Aug 5, 2022 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Miramar
0:1
May 15, 2022 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Atenas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atenas 42 / 100
Miramar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atenas Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Atenas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Atenas scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Atenas VS Miramar
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atenas

(Home)
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
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Miramar

(Away)
03 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
27 Sept
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Miramar
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)