Sport Picks

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Atenas

2 - 2

Penarol

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Barboza B.

Own Goal

28'

Rucci T.

(Penalty)

46'

Umpierrez L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Atenas

35%

Draws

38%

Penarol

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Penarol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence

Penarol carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Penarol a 38% chance of winning this.
Penarol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Penarol, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Atenas Clean Sheet 15%

Penarol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atenas	Penarol
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	13
Draws	7	9
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.41	1.52
Goals Conceded	1.28	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Atenas vs Penarol

2:2

Sep 8, 2018 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Penarol vs Atenas

2:0

May 26, 2018 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Atenas vs Penarol

1:2

Mar 24, 2018 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Atenas vs Penarol

0:2

Apr 19, 2015 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Atenas vs Penarol

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atenas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Penarol Compare

Top Goalscorer Umpierrez L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Romero F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atenas 23 / 100

Penarol 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atenas Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penarol Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atenas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atenas's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Penarol conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atenas VS Penarol

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atenas

(Home)

27 Sept

Atenas

0 : 0

Plaza Colonia

24 Sept

Montevideo City

3 : 3

Atenas

19 Sept

La Luz

0 : 1

Atenas

13 Sept

Atenas

0 : 0

Cerrito

06 Sept

Atenas

3 : 2

River Plate Montevideo

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Penarol

(Away)

26 Sept

Penarol

2 : 1

Boston River

24 Sept

Danubio

1 : 1

Penarol

19 Sept

CA Cerro

1 : 2

Penarol

13 Sept

Penarol

3 : 1

Albion

05 Sept

Danubio

0 : 4

Penarol

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