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Atenas vs Plaza Colonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Lorenzi M.
78'
Souza F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atenas
35%
Draws
23%
Plaza Colonia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Plaza Colonia have won more games recently than Atenas.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atenas Plaza Colonia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.42 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Plaza Colonia
0:0
Jun 20, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Atenas
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Plaza Colonia
1:3
May 10, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Atenas
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Plaza Colonia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atenas 41 / 100
Plaza Colonia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atenas Plaza Colonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Atenas remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Atenas scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Plaza Colonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atenas VS Plaza Colonia
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atenas

(Home)
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
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Plaza Colonia

(Away)
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)