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Atenas vs Potencia Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Britos M.
48' Event
Fernandez J.
87' Event
Plada J.

AI Match Summary

Atenas in this Segunda Division 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atenas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Atenas
35%
Draws
20%
Potencia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Potencia haven't matched Atenas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atenas a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%
Potencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atenas Potencia
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.37 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2023 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Potencia
3:0
Jul 30, 2023 Segunda Division
Potencia vs Atenas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Britos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Potencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atenas 77 / 100
Potencia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atenas Potencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atenas scored in 80% of their last 41 outings.

Potencia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Atenas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Atenas VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atenas

(Home)
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
06 Sept
Atenas
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
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Potencia

(Away)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
04 Dec
Atenas
3 : 0
Potencia
29 Nov
Potencia
1 : 1
Rampla Juniors
26 Nov
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 0
Potencia
20 Nov
Potencia
0 : 2
Cerrito
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