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Ath Bilbao B vs Cacereno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Lezama Facilities, Lezama
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ath Bilbao B host Cacereno in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ath Bilbao B have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Cacereno's 1.19 scored and 0.94 conceded. Head-to-head, Ath Bilbao B have won 0 to Cacereno's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.19) back Cacereno to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ath Bilbao B
35%
Draws
32%
Cacereno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cacereno come out ahead of Ath Bilbao B on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Ath Bilbao B taking it.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 20%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ath Bilbao B Cacereno
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.18 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Ath Bilbao B
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Cacereno
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ath Bilbao B 49 / 100
Cacereno 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ath Bilbao B Cacereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ath Bilbao B found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Cacereno conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ath Bilbao B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ath Bilbao B VS Cacereno
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ath Bilbao B

(Home)
18 Oct
CD Coria
2 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
11 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
0 : 0
Real Union
04 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
1 : 3
CD Extremadura
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6

Cacereno

(Away)
18 Oct
Pontevedra
1 : 0
Cacereno
10 Oct
Cacereno
1 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
04 Oct
AD Merida
2 : 0
Cacereno
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 UD Logrones 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
3 Racing Club Ferrol 8 5 1 2 9:5 16
4 AD Merida 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
6 Zamora 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
7 Leonesa 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
8 Cacereno 8 3 3 2 7:5 12
9 Ponferradina 8 3 3 2 6:6 12
10 Real Aviles 8 3 2 3 14:10 11
11 Pontevedra 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
12 Mirandes 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
13 Real Union 8 2 4 2 15:13 10
14 CD Extremadura 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
15 Barakaldo 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
16 Deportivo Fabril 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
17 CD Coria 8 2 2 4 12:16 8
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
19 UD Ourense 8 1 2 5 3:13 5
20 Arenas Getxo 8 0 2 6 5:22 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)