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Ath Bilbao U19 vs Qarabag Agdam U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Lezama Facilities, Lezama
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Huestamendia P.
52'
Gazibayov A.
57' Event
Huestamendia P.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Ath Bilbao U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ath Bilbao U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ath Bilbao U19
20%
Draws
0%
Qarabag Agdam U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ath Bilbao U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ath Bilbao U19 lately — more wins on the board than Qarabag Agdam U19.
  • Ath Bilbao U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ath Bilbao U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Qarabag Agdam U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ath Bilbao U19 Qarabag Agdam U19
Matches Played 19 12
Wins 9 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.11 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.53 4.08
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Ath Bilbao U19 vs Qarabag Agdam U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ath Bilbao U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Huestamendia P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lozano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Qarabag Agdam U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ath Bilbao U19 95 / 100
Qarabag Agdam U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ath Bilbao U19 Qarabag Agdam U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qarabag Agdam U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 12 matches.

Qarabag Agdam U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ath Bilbao U19 scored in 74% of their last 19 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ath Bilbao U19 VS Qarabag Agdam U19
2.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ath Bilbao U19

(Home)
03 Feb
Ath Bilbao U19
2 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
10 Dec
Ath Bilbao U19
1 : 1
PSG U19
25 Nov
Slavia Prague U19
3 : 3
Ath Bilbao U19
05 Nov
Newcastle Utd U19
2 : 3
Ath Bilbao U19
22 Oct
Ath Bilbao U19
3 : 0
Qarabag Agdam U19
Page 1 of 4

Qarabag Agdam U19

(Away)
10 Dec
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 8
Ajax U19
25 Nov
Napoli U19
2 : 0
Qarabag Agdam U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
22 Oct
Ath Bilbao U19
3 : 0
Qarabag Agdam U19
01 Oct
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
FC Copenhagen U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)