Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Lee Kang-In
46'
46'
Sub
Alvarez Y. In: Paredes A.
Out: Alvarez Y.
46'
46'
Williams N.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga game between Ath Bilbao and Atl. Madrid finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ath Bilbao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid come out ahead of Ath Bilbao on wins alone.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Ath Bilbao taking it.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ath Bilbao | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Atl. Madrid
3:0
Apr 25, 2026 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Ath Bilbao
3:2
Dec 6, 2025 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Atl. Madrid
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Ath Bilbao
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Atl. Madrid
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ath Bilbao Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Navarro R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Atl. Madrid Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ath Bilbao 50 / 100
Atl. Madrid 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ath Bilbao Atl. Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ath Bilbao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ath Bilbao found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Ath Bilbao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ath Bilbao VS Atl. Madrid
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ath Bilbao
(Home) 19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0 Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0 Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
22 Aug
Ath Bilbao
1 : 3 Sevilla
25 Jul
Ath Bilbao
2 : 2 Eibar
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Madrid
(Away) 20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1 Real Madrid
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0 Osasuna
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3 Atl. Madrid
14 Aug
Marseille
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
