Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Buonanotte F.
(Penalty)
56'
56'
Redondo Solari F.
65'
65'
Sub
Areso J. In: Louis-Jean J.
Out: Areso J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ath Bilbao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ath Bilbao have won more games recently than Elche.
- Ath Bilbao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 16%
Elche Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ath Bilbao | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Elche
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Elche
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 LaLiga
Elche vs Ath Bilbao
0:0
May 28, 2023 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Elche
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 LaLiga
Elche vs Ath Bilbao
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ath Bilbao Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Elche Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ath Bilbao 84 / 100
Elche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ath Bilbao Elche
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ath Bilbao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Elche conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Ath Bilbao scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ath Bilbao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ath Bilbao VS Elche
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ath Bilbao
(Home) 12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0 Ath Bilbao
22 Aug
Ath Bilbao
1 : 3 Sevilla
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
22 Aug
Ath Bilbao
1 : 3 Sevilla
25 Jul
Ath Bilbao
2 : 2 Eibar
17 May
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 3
Elche
(Away) 12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2 Elche
23 Aug
Elche
0 : 5 Barcelona
17 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1 Elche
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2 Elche
17 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1 Elche
23 May
Girona
1 : 1 Elche
12 May
Betis
2 : 1 Elche
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Alaves | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Dep. A Coruna | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 7 | Espanyol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Atl. Madrid | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Ath Bilbao | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Levante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Getafe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:7 | 2 |
| 19 | Elche | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 20 | Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
