Sport Picks
Ath Bilbao vs Elche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao 
Match Events
50'
50'
Buonanotte F.
(Penalty)
56'
56'
Redondo Solari F.
65'
65'
Sub
Areso J. In: Louis-Jean J.
Out: Areso J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ath Bilbao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Ath Bilbao have won more games recently than Elche.
- Ath Bilbao are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 20%
Elche Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ath Bilbao | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Elche
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Elche
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 LaLiga
Elche vs Ath Bilbao
0:0
May 28, 2023 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Elche
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 LaLiga
Elche vs Ath Bilbao
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ath Bilbao 58 / 100
Elche 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ath Bilbao Elche
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ath Bilbao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ath Bilbao found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Elche let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ath Bilbao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ath Bilbao VS Elche
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ath Bilbao
(Home) 01 Nov
Ath Bilbao
2 : 1 Real Sociedad
29 Oct
Prat
1 : 6 Ath Bilbao
25 Oct
Ath Bilbao
4 : 0 Getafe
21 Oct
Levante
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
17 Oct
Valencia
0 : 0 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Ath Bilbao
2 : 1 Real Sociedad
25 Oct
Ath Bilbao
4 : 0 Getafe
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0 Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 3
Elche
(Away) 01 Nov
Elche
0 : 1 Valencia
27 Oct
Pinatar
1 : 3 Elche
24 Oct
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 3 Elche
17 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 0 Elche
11 Oct
Elche
0 : 0 Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Pinatar
1 : 3 Elche
24 Oct
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 3 Elche
17 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 0 Elche
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3 Elche
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Dep. A Coruna | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
