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Ath Bilbao vs Espanyol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ath Bilbao host Espanyol in the LaLiga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Ath Bilbao have averaged 2 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Espanyol's 1.34 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, Ath Bilbao have won 2 to Espanyol's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 0.94) point toward Ath Bilbao. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ath Bilbao
20%
Draws
23%
Espanyol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ath Bilbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ath Bilbao have won more games recently than Espanyol.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Ath Bilbao taking it.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 20%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ath Bilbao Espanyol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Ath Bilbao
2:0
Dec 22, 2025 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Espanyol
1:2
Feb 16, 2025 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Ath Bilbao
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Espanyol
4:1
Apr 8, 2023 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Ath Bilbao
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ath Bilbao 85 / 100
Espanyol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ath Bilbao Espanyol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ath Bilbao's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Espanyol conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ath Bilbao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ath Bilbao VS Espanyol
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ath Bilbao

(Home)
29 Oct
Prat
1 : 6
Ath Bilbao
25 Oct
Ath Bilbao
4 : 0
Getafe
21 Oct
Levante
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
17 Oct
Valencia
0 : 0
Ath Bilbao
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6

Espanyol

(Away)
30 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 1
Espanyol
27 Oct
Sestao
4 : 3
Espanyol
24 Oct
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Espanyol
17 Oct
Espanyol
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid
09 Oct
Malaga
1 : 1
Espanyol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 10 9 0 1 40:11 27
2 Atl. Madrid 10 8 1 1 20:8 25
3 Real Madrid 10 8 0 2 25:10 24
4 Betis 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
5 Real Sociedad 10 6 1 3 19:18 19
6 Sevilla 10 5 2 3 16:16 17
7 Alaves 10 3 3 4 14:11 12
8 Ath Bilbao 9 3 3 3 12:9 12
9 Celta Vigo 10 2 6 2 10:7 12
10 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15:15 12
11 Dep. A Coruna 10 2 5 3 13:13 11
12 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13:14 11
13 Osasuna 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Racing Santander 10 3 2 5 15:26 11
15 Levante 10 2 4 4 16:19 10
16 Elche 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
17 Rayo Vallecano 9 2 3 4 12:20 9
18 Getafe 10 2 3 5 5:15 9
19 Valencia 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
20 Malaga 10 0 5 5 7:19 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)