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Athens Kallithea vs OFI Crete

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Grigoris Lambrakis Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athens Kallithea play OFI Crete in the Greek Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Athens Kallithea averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. OFI Crete averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Athens Kallithea won 0, OFI Crete won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 24, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Athens Kallithea and 1.06 for OFI Crete. This points to a OFI Crete double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Athens Kallithea
26%
Draws
39%
OFI Crete
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: OFI Crete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Athens Kallithea picked up more points recently compared to OFI Crete.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Athens Kallithea Clean Sheet 22%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athens Kallithea OFI Crete
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Greek Cup
Athens Kallithea vs OFI Crete
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Super League
Athens Kallithea vs OFI Crete
1:3
Nov 10, 2024 Super League
OFI Crete vs Athens Kallithea
2:2
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
OFI Crete vs Athens Kallithea
0:0
Mar 17, 2018 Football League
Athens Kallithea vs OFI Crete
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athens Kallithea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

OFI Crete Compare

Top Goalscorer Salcedo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athens Kallithea 36 / 100
OFI Crete 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athens Kallithea OFI Crete

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: OFI Crete or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athens Kallithea attacking → ← attacking OFI Crete

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athens Kallithea scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

OFI Crete let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Athens Kallithea went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

OFI Crete lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 52
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olympiacos Piraeus440018:312
2Levadiakos440010:312
3AEK44006:112
4Panathinaikos44006:212
5Aris43106:210
6OFI Crete43017:39
7Volos421110:77
8PAOK421110:77
9Atromitos42117:57
10Kifisia41214:45
11Asteras Tripolis41127:44
12Panetolikos41125:44
13Iraklis FC41122:94
14Athens Kallithea41033:53
15Ellas Syrou41038:133
16AEL Larissa40134:91
17Kavala40133:81
18Marko40134:101
19Ilioupoli40041:100
20PAE Egaleo40041:130