Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atherton Collieries vs Bury FC

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Trialist H
60' Event
Gomes B.
75' Event
Rowe M.

AI Match Summary

Atherton Collieries host Bury FC in the Club Friendly 2024. This has Bury FC written all over it on paper. Bury FC have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Atherton Collieries have conceded 2.13 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Atherton Collieries have won 0 to Bury FC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2024, ending 1:4. xG projections (0.81 - 2.25) back Bury FC to edge this. Bury FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atherton Collieries
20%
Draws
38%
Bury FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atherton Collieries

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Bury FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atherton Collieries.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Atherton Collieries.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Atherton Collieries Clean Sheet 10%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atherton Collieries Bury FC
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 1
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Atherton Collieries vs Bury FC
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atherton Collieries Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bury FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherera A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist H
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atherton Collieries 40 / 100
Bury FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atherton Collieries Bury FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atherton Collieries scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Bury FC let in goals in 78% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Atherton Collieries went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bury FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atherton Collieries VS Bury FC
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%