Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2009/2010

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atherton Rovers host FC Congleton Town in the FA Cup 2009/2010. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Atherton Rovers at 2 goals for, 3.67 against; FC Congleton Town at 1.75 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor FC Congleton Town slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2009, ending 0:5. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 2.71) point toward FC Congleton Town. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Atherton Rovers

22%

Draws

60%

FC Congleton Town

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Congleton Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

FC Congleton Town has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atherton Rovers.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for FC Congleton Town.
Cup tournament structure in FA Cup 2009/2010 increases high-stakes performance focus.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Atherton Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

FC Congleton Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atherton Rovers	FC Congleton Town
Matches Played	5	31
Wins	1	15
Draws	1	4
Losses	3	12
Goals Scored	2	1.75
Goals Conceded	3.67	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.67	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2009 FA Cup

Atherton Rovers vs FC Congleton Town

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

0:5

Sep 12, 2009 FA Cup

Atherton Rovers vs FC Congleton Town

Possession: 50% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atherton Rovers 18 / 100

FC Congleton Town 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atherton Rovers FC Congleton Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atherton Rovers scored in 60% of their last 5 games.

FC Congleton Town let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Atherton Rovers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Congleton Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atherton Rovers VS FC Congleton Town

2 Goals Scored 1.75

3.67 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 38%

67% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Hinckley-

TBD-

St Ives Town1

Kirkley & Pakefield2

Northampton Spencer2

Godmanchester Rovers1

Daventry0

Cambridge City2

TBD-

Histon-

Nuneaton5

Brigg Town0

Glapwell0

Carlton Town1

Market Drayton2

Leamington0

TBD-

Gainsborough-

Guiseley2

Whitley Bay0

Maine Road1

Bamber Bridge4

Ossett Town1

Morpeth0

FC Guisborough Town1

Kendal9

Halifax4

Ancients0

TBD-

Droylsden-

Horden5

Durham3

Hallam0

Burscough4

TBD-

Wrexham-

Gateshead-

TBD-

Alfreton-

TBD-

Kidsgrove Athletic2

Wulfrunians3

Spennymoor6

Ryton & Crawcrook0

TBD-

Southport-

Workington-

TBD-

St Helens Town1

Cammell Laird3

Warrington Town1

Nantwich0

Woodley0

Radcliffe1

TBD-

Rushden-

Mansfield-

TBD-

Altrincham-

Buxton2

Winterton Rangers1

Rossendale United1

AFC Fylde4

Harrogate-

TBD-

Bishop Auckland1

Bradford PA4

Hucknall4

Blackstones2

Dudley Sports0

Rugby6

Evesham2

Tividale1

Bromsgrove Rovers (inactive)2

Stourbridge4

Blyth Spartans-

TBD-

Newcastle Blue Star-

Ossett Albion-

Hyde-

TBD-

Marine1

Salford2

Worcester-

TBD-

Boston Town1

Bourne3

Hereford Pegasus4

Hednesford1

TBD-

Telford-

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)-

TBD-

Long Buckby4

Mildenhall5

Corby-

TBD-

Eastwood-

TBD-

Tamworth-

Lincoln Utd.3

Retford United2

Garforth0

Roofing1

FC Congleton Town6

Atherton Rovers1

Worksop2

Frickley3

TBD-

Cambridge Utd-

Kettering-

TBD-

Solihull Moors-

TBD-

Quorn0

Mickleover2

Stratford1

Cradley Town0

TBD-

Redditch-

Northwich Victoria-

TBD-

Barton Town0

Bardon Hill Sports5

Ashton United3

Lancaster0

Glossop North End2

Chorley3

Stalybridge-

TBD-

Clitheroe0

Stocksbridge2

North Ferriby United2

Harrogate Railway0

Sheffield FC1

United of Manchester3

Barrow-

TBD-

Chester City-

Kidderminster-

TBD-

Vauxhall-

TBD-

Bridlington Town0

Whitby1

Farsley-

TBD-

Fleetwood Town-

York City-

TBD-

Coventry Sphinx1

Rushall0

TBD-

Stafford-

Rainworth2

Holbrook1

Causeway United0

Bedworth United3

Hendon2

Marlow0

Bognor Regis1

Kingstonian4

Badshot Lea6

Lingfield5

Crawley Down Gatwick2

Ashford Town3

Maidstone2

Bedfont Sports1

Maldon & Tiptree1

Harefield United3

Hythe2

Faversham1

TBD-

Woking-

Gloucester City-

TBD-

Molesey2

Bashley3

Hungerford4

Bristol Manor Farm0

TBD-

Dorchester-

Sutton Coldfield Town6

Westfields0

Sudbury0

Needham Market2

Boston United4

Loughborough Dynamo2

Dereham1

Lowestoft3

Farnborough2

Hastings1

Thamesmead1

Windsor & Eton2

St. Albans-

TBD-

Stanway Rovers1

Heybridge2

TBD-

Salisbury-

Mangotsfield3

Wantage0

Saltash United10

Gillingham Town12

Maidenhead-

TBD-

Bridport1

Truro8

TBD-

Forest Green-

Crawley Town-

TBD-

AFC Wimbledon-

Oxford City4

Kidlington2

Dulwich Hamlet0

Sholing1

Abingdon3

Highworth0

North Leigh1

Cirencester2

Bedford5

London Tigers1

Castle Vale1

Romulus2

Matlock3

Sleaford Town2

King’s Lynn0

Bury Town2

Bromley-

TBD-

Royston Town1

Flackwell Heath2

Horsham FC-

Tooting & Mitcham-

Metropolitan Police0

Tonbridge1

TBD-

Ebbsfleet-

Chelmsford-

TBD-

Halstead Town4

Enfield FC5

Worthing FC1

Croydon Athletic0

Chipstead1

Dartford6

TBD-

Stevenage-

Aylesbury Vale5

Erith Town4

Northwood2

Wingate & Finchley6

Billericay3

Hornchurch0

Harrow Borough1

Chesham3

Lewes-

TBD-

Ashford United0

Leatherhead2

Boreham Wood1

Walthamstow FC0

Arlesey1

Wealdstone2

Dover Ath.-

TBD-

Guildford City6

East Preston7

East Thurrock Utd4

Ware1

TBD-

Welling-

Basingstoke-

TBD-

Swindon Supermarine0

Brackley1

Witney Utd5

Shortwood4

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Hayes & Yeading-

TBD-

Walton Casuals4

Chatham2

Deal Town1

Selsey4

Sittingbourne1

Folkestone0

TBD-

Staines-

Luton-

TBD-

Grays-

Oxford Utd-

TBD-

Potters4

Aylesbury United0

Carshalton1

Whitstable Town2

Stortford-

TBD-

Thurrock-

Bath City-

TBD-

Poole Town0

Willand Rovers1

Weymouth-

TBD-

Brockenhurst2

Bishops Cleeve5

Bridgwater United3

Hamworthy United1

Brading Town1

Hallen4

Almondsbury Town4

Yate2

VCD Athletic0

AFC Totton5

Paulton Rovers1

Tiverton0

Shrivenham0

Didcot5

Clevedon4

Wimborne2

TBD-

Newport-

Havant & Waterlooville-

TBD-

Weston-super-Mare-

Merthyr Tydfil3

Taunton Town0

Banbury2

Chippenham Town3

Tooting & Mitcham4

Horsham FC2

Hitchin3

Canvey Island4

Concord Rangers12

Romford0

Hemel Hempstead2

Slough Town3

TBD-

Eastbourne Borough-

Hampton & Richmond-

TBD-

Braintree-

Burnham FC2

Thame United0

London Colney4

Aveley8

Walton & Hersham2

Cray Wanderers1

Waltham Abbey0

Enfield Town1

Uxbridge4

Ash United3

Margate4

Sutton5

Quarter-finals

Hinckley2

Kirkley & Pakefield1

Northampton Spencer1

Cambridge City4

TBD-

Histon-

Nuneaton4

Carlton Town1

Market Drayton1

Gainsborough2

Guiseley2

Bamber Bridge0

Ossett Town0

Kendal2

Halifax2

Droylsden0

Horden1

Burscough4

TBD-

Wrexham-

Gateshead-

TBD-

Alfreton6

Wulfrunians0

Spennymoor1

Southport3

Workington4

Cammell Laird1

Warrington Town2

Radcliffe4

TBD-

Rushden-

Mansfield-

TBD-

Altrincham-

Buxton5

AFC Fylde0

Harrogate0

Bradford PA4

Hucknall3

Rugby1

Evesham0

Stourbridge1

Blyth Spartans7

Ossett Albion1

Hyde2

Salford3

Worcester3

Bourne0

Hereford Pegasus1

Telford4

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)4

Mildenhall1

Corby1

Eastwood2

TBD-

Tamworth-

Lincoln Utd.2

Roofing1

FC Congleton Town0

Frickley1

TBD-

Cambridge Utd-

Kettering-

TBD-

Solihull Moors4

Mickleover3

Stratford1

Redditch3

Northwich Victoria8

Bardon Hill Sports0

Ashton United1

Chorley2

Stalybridge7

Stocksbridge2

North Ferriby United0

United of Manchester1

Barrow-

TBD-

Chester City-

Kidderminster-

TBD-

Vauxhall5

Whitby0

Farsley1

Fleetwood Town3

York City-

TBD-

Coventry Sphinx5

Stafford4

Rainworth1

Bedworth United2

Hendon2

Kingstonian1

Badshot Lea0

Ashford Town10

Maidstone2

Harefield United0

Hythe3

Woking7

Gloucester City2

Bashley1

Hungerford0

Dorchester4

Sutton Coldfield Town3

Needham Market1

Boston United0

Lowestoft1

Farnborough1

Windsor & Eton0

St. Albans0

Heybridge1

TBD-

Salisbury-

Mangotsfield6

Gillingham Town3

Maidenhead2

Truro5

TBD-

Forest Green-

Crawley Town-

TBD-

AFC Wimbledon-

Oxford City1

Sholing0

Abingdon1

Cirencester3

Bedford2

Romulus1

Matlock2

Bury Town4

Bromley2

Flackwell Heath0

Horsham FC0

Tonbridge4

TBD-

Ebbsfleet-

Chelmsford5

Enfield FC0

Worthing FC1

Dartford2

TBD-

Stevenage-

Aylesbury Vale4

Wingate & Finchley3

Billericay2

Chesham4

Lewes2

Leatherhead1

Boreham Wood2

Wealdstone4

Dover Ath.8

East Preston0

East Thurrock Utd0

Welling2

Basingstoke1

Brackley0

Witney Utd1

Eastleigh6

Hayes & Yeading-

TBD-

Walton Casuals1

Selsey0

Sittingbourne2

Staines3

Luton-

TBD-

Grays-

Oxford Utd-

TBD-

Potters3

Whitstable Town0

Stortford2

Thurrock3

Bath City5

Willand Rovers0

Weymouth0

Bishops Cleeve3

Bridgwater United1

Hallen0

Almondsbury Town1

AFC Totton4

Paulton Rovers2

Didcot0

Clevedon1

Newport3

Havant & Waterlooville1

Weston-super-Mare0

Merthyr Tydfil1

Chippenham Town4

Tooting & Mitcham2

Canvey Island0

Concord Rangers0

Slough Town2

TBD-

Eastbourne Borough-

Hampton & Richmond4

Braintree1

Burnham FC2

Aveley4

Walton & Hersham3

Enfield Town2

Uxbridge0

Sutton3

Semi-finals

Hinckley5

Cambridge City0

TBD-

Histon-

Nuneaton1

Gainsborough0

Guiseley1

Kendal2

Halifax1

Burscough0

TBD-

Wrexham-

Gateshead-

TBD-

Alfreton3

Southport4

Workington3

Radcliffe0

TBD-

Rushden-

Mansfield-

TBD-

Altrincham-

Buxton3

Bradford PA2

Hucknall1

Stourbridge6

Blyth Spartans4

Salford3

Worcester0

Telford1

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)4

Eastwood2

TBD-

Tamworth-

Lincoln Utd.3

Frickley2

TBD-

Cambridge Utd-

Kettering-

TBD-

Solihull Moors0

Redditch2

Northwich Victoria4

Chorley1

Stalybridge3

United of Manchester4

Barrow-

TBD-

Chester City-

Kidderminster-

TBD-

Vauxhall2

Fleetwood Town3

York City-

TBD-

Coventry Sphinx0

Bedworth United1

Hendon3

Ashford Town2

Maidstone0

Woking2

Gloucester City2

Dorchester1

Sutton Coldfield Town1

Lowestoft2

Farnborough3

Heybridge0

TBD-

Salisbury-

Mangotsfield3

Truro2

TBD-

Forest Green-

Crawley Town-

TBD-

AFC Wimbledon-

Oxford City2

Cirencester0

Bedford4

Bury Town5

Bromley2

Tonbridge0

TBD-

Ebbsfleet-

Chelmsford4

Dartford1

TBD-

Stevenage-

Aylesbury Vale4

Chesham3

Lewes0

Wealdstone3

Dover Ath.2

Welling0

Basingstoke0

Eastleigh2

Hayes & Yeading-

TBD-

Walton Casuals0

Staines3

Luton-

TBD-

Grays-

Oxford Utd-

TBD-

Potters2

Thurrock4

Bath City4

Bishops Cleeve1

Bridgwater United2

AFC Totton3

Paulton Rovers1

Newport0

Havant & Waterlooville1

Chippenham Town2

Tooting & Mitcham3

Slough Town2

TBD-

Eastbourne Borough-

Hampton & Richmond3

Aveley2

Walton & Hersham0

Sutton1

Stage 5

TBD-

Stage 4

TBD-

Stage 3

TBD-

Stage 2

TBD-

Stage 1

TBD-

Final

Hinckley2

Histon1

Nuneaton1

Kendal0

Halifax0

Wrexham1

Gateshead3

Southport0

Workington0

Rushden3

Mansfield3

Altrincham0

Buxton0

Stourbridge4

Blyth Spartans0

Telford4

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)2

Tamworth0

Lincoln Utd.1

Cambridge Utd3

Kettering2

Redditch1

Northwich Victoria3

United of Manchester0

Barrow5

Chester City1

Kidderminster1

Fleetwood Town3

York City2

Bedworth United0

Hendon0

Woking5

Gloucester City3

Lowestoft5

Farnborough2

Salisbury4

Mangotsfield1

Forest Green2

Crawley Town2

AFC Wimbledon4

Oxford City2

Bury Town1

Bromley3

Ebbsfleet0

Chelmsford1

Stevenage2

Aylesbury Vale2

Wealdstone4

Dover Ath.3

Eastleigh5

Hayes & Yeading0

Staines1

Luton3

Grays0

Oxford Utd2

Thurrock0

Bath City3

AFC Totton2

Paulton Rovers3

Chippenham Town0

Tooting & Mitcham7

Eastbourne Borough6

Hampton & Richmond1

Sutton3