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Athletic Bilbao B W vs Real Madrid B W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletic Bilbao B W host Real Madrid B W in the Primera Federacion Women. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Real Madrid B W have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Athletic Bilbao B W have conceded 1.43 and scored 0.67. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.71 - 1.29) back Real Madrid B W to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Athletic Bilbao B W
35%
Draws
16%
Real Madrid B W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athletic Bilbao B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Athletic Bilbao B W haven't matched Real Madrid B W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Athletic Bilbao B W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Athletic Bilbao B W Clean Sheet 19%
Real Madrid B W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Bilbao B W Real Madrid B W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Bilbao B W 42 / 100
Real Madrid B W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Bilbao B W Real Madrid B W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid B W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Athletic Bilbao B W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Madrid B W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Athletic Bilbao B W scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Bilbao B W VS Real Madrid B W
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Bilbao B W

(Home)
17 Oct
Real Sociedad B W
0 : 0
Athletic Bilbao B W
03 Oct
Athletic Bilbao B W
0 : 6
CA Osasuna W
26 Sept
Villarreal W
1 : 1
Athletic Bilbao B W
20 Sept
Athletic Bilbao B W
1 : 0
Tenerife B W
13 Sept
Sport Extremadura CD W
0 : 0
Athletic Bilbao B W
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid B W

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Cacereno W
27 Sept
Tenerife B W
3 : 1
Real Madrid B W
20 Sept
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Alhama W
13 Sept
CA Osasuna W
3 : 3
Real Madrid B W
02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levante W 4 3 0 1 13:9 9
2 Alhama W 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Atl. Madrid B W 4 3 0 1 13:12 9
4 CA Osasuna W 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
5 Albacete W 4 2 0 2 8:4 6
6 Cacereno W 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
7 Athletic Bilbao B W 5 1 3 1 2:7 6
8 Villarreal W 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Sport Extremadura CD W 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Barcelona B W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
11 Real Union W 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
12 Tenerife B W 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
13 Real Sociedad B W 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Real Madrid B W 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Liga F Women 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women (Promotion - Play Offs)