Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletic Bilbao W vs Badalona W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Lezama Facilities, Lezama
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Uribe I.
Assist: Majarin S.
41' Event
Pinedo C.
Assist: Valero M.
45'
Zugasti P.

AI Match Summary

Athletic Bilbao W in this Liga F Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletic Bilbao W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Athletic Bilbao W
35%
Draws
32%
Badalona W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Badalona W average 1.44 goals a game right now, well clear of Athletic Bilbao W's 1.3.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Athletic Bilbao W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Athletic Bilbao W Clean Sheet 15%
Badalona W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Bilbao W Badalona W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Badalona W
3:1
May 2, 2026 Liga F Women
Badalona W vs Athletic Bilbao W
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Badalona W
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 Liga F Women
Badalona W vs Athletic Bilbao W
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Badalona W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Bilbao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinedo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Azkona A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Badalona W Compare

Top Goalscorer Uribe I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Bilbao W 31 / 100
Badalona W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Bilbao W Badalona W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Athletic Bilbao W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Badalona W conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Athletic Bilbao W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Bilbao W VS Badalona W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Bilbao W

(Home)
03 Oct
Madrid CFF W
2 : 2
Athletic Bilbao W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
20 Sept
Eibar W
1 : 0
Athletic Bilbao W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2
Espanyol W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1
Athletic Bilbao W
Page 1 of 6

Badalona W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sevilla W
3 : 3
Badalona W
26 Sept
Badalona W
0 : 1
Granada CF W
19 Sept
Badalona W
0 : 0
Real Sociedad W
13 Sept
Eibar W
1 : 4
Badalona W
05 Sept
Espanyol W
0 : 1
Badalona W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)