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Athletic Bilbao W vs Dep. A Coruna W

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Club Friendly Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletic Bilbao W play Dep. A Coruna W in the Club Friendly Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Athletic Bilbao W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Dep. A Coruna W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Athletic Bilbao W won 2, Dep. A Coruna W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Athletic Bilbao W and 1.38 for Dep. A Coruna W. This points to a Athletic Bilbao W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Athletic Bilbao W
19%
Draws
32%
Dep. A Coruna W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Athletic Bilbao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Athletic Bilbao W picked up more points recently compared to Dep. A Coruna W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Athletic Bilbao W Clean Sheet 17%
Dep. A Coruna W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Bilbao W Dep. A Coruna W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.67 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Dep. A Coruna W
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga F Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Athletic Bilbao W
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Dep. A Coruna W
3:2
Mar 30, 2025 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Dep. A Coruna W
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga F Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Athletic Bilbao W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Bilbao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirregomezcorta O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinedo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dep. A Coruna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marisa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Latorre B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Bilbao W 48 / 100
Dep. A Coruna W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Bilbao W Dep. A Coruna W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Athletic Bilbao W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athletic Bilbao W attacking → ← attacking Dep. A Coruna W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Bilbao W scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Dep. A Coruna W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Athletic Bilbao W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dep. A Coruna W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 32
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38