Sport Picks
Athletic Bilbao W vs Madrid CFF W
Spain
Liga F Women 2025/2026 Lezama Facilities, Lezama 
Match Events
26'
26'
Sosa A.
31'
31'
Ortega S.
Assist: Banos L.
45'
45'
Torre Larranaga M.
AI Match Summary
Athletic Bilbao W in this Liga F Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletic Bilbao W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Athletic Bilbao W lately — more wins on the board than Madrid CFF W.
- Athletic Bilbao W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Liga F Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Athletic Bilbao W Clean Sheet 20%
Madrid CFF W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Bilbao W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Madrid CFF W
4:1
Dec 13, 2025 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Bilbao W
0:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Bilbao W
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Madrid CFF W
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Bilbao W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletic Bilbao W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortega S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Amezaga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Madrid CFF W Compare
Top Goalscorer Sosa A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletic Bilbao W 58 / 100
Madrid CFF W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletic Bilbao W Madrid CFF W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Athletic Bilbao W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Madrid CFF W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Athletic Bilbao W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Athletic Bilbao W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Athletic Bilbao W VS Madrid CFF W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletic Bilbao W
(Home) 20 Sept
Eibar W
1 : 0 Athletic Bilbao W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2 Espanyol W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1 Athletic Bilbao W
30 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 1 Badalona W
15 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 0 Alaves W
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2 Espanyol W
30 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 1 Badalona W
15 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 0 Alaves W
09 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
0 : 0 Logrono W
05 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
0 : 1 Costa Adeje Tenerife W
Page 1 of 3
Madrid CFF W
(Away) 19 Sept
Espanyol W
5 : 1 Madrid CFF W
12 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0 Sevilla W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3 Madrid CFF W
29 Aug
Madrid CFF W
3 : 1 Granada CF W
22 Aug
Alaves W
2 : 2 Madrid CFF W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Espanyol W
5 : 1 Madrid CFF W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3 Madrid CFF W
22 Aug
Alaves W
2 : 2 Madrid CFF W
08 Aug
Eibar W
1 : 3 Madrid CFF W
01 Aug
Real Madrid W
2 : 0 Madrid CFF W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 30 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 130:9 | 87 |
| 2 | Real Madrid W | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 65:18 | 72 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad W | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 61:27 | 66 |
| 4 | Costa Adeje Tenerife W | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 49:22 | 54 |
| 5 | Atl. Madrid W | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 63:39 | 51 |
| 6 | Granada CF W | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 36:42 | 45 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao W | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:44 | 44 |
| 8 | Sevilla W | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 33:46 | 41 |
| 9 | Badalona W | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | 39 |
| 10 | Madrid CFF W | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 41:59 | 37 |
| 11 | Espanyol W | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Dep. A Coruna W | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 34:54 | 31 |
| 13 | Eibar W | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 18:47 | 28 |
| 14 | Logrono W | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29:54 | 21 |
| 15 | Alhama W | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23:78 | 14 |
| 16 | Levante W | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 18:62 | 9 |
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)
