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Athletic Club Boise vs Charlotte Independence - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho), Boise, ID
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Match Events

4'
Coulibaly S.
11'
Coulibaly S.
11'
Coulibaly S.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Athletic Club Boise and Charlotte Independence finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Athletic Club Boise
35%
Draws
38%
Charlotte Independence
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Charlotte Independence

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charlotte Independence come out ahead of Athletic Club Boise on wins alone.
  • Model gives Athletic Club Boise a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 10%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Boise Charlotte Independence
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.59 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Charlotte Independence
1:1
May 6, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Athletic Club Boise
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostyshyn D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Manin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club Boise 34 / 100
Charlotte Independence 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Boise Charlotte Independence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Athletic Club Boise scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Charlotte Independence let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Athletic Club Boise has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club Boise VS Charlotte Independence
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Club Boise

(Home)
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte Independence

(Away)
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4
Westchester SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)