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Athletic Club Boise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

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USL League One Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho)
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AI Match Summary

Athletic Club Boise play Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USL League One. It looks like a close match. Recently, Athletic Club Boise averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Chattanooga Red Wolves averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Athletic Club Boise won 1, Chattanooga Red Wolves won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Athletic Club Boise and 1.75 for Chattanooga Red Wolves. This points to a Athletic Club Boise double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Athletic Club Boise
15%
Draws
32%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athletic Club Boise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Athletic Club Boise picked up more points recently compared to Chattanooga Red Wolves.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 12%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Boise Chattanooga Red Wolves
Matches Played 19 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.58 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Moshobane T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club Boise 50 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Boise Chattanooga Red Wolves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Club Boise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Athletic Club Boise & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athletic Club Boise attacking → ← attacking Chattanooga Red Wolves

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club Boise scored in 89% of their last 19 games.

Chattanooga Red Wolves let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Athletic Club Boise went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chattanooga Red Wolves lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 34
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310