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Athletic Club Boise vs Forward Madison - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho), Boise, ID
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Munjoma E.
39'
Sub
Segbers M. In: Castro J.
Out: Segbers M.
45'
Sub
Crull J. In: Ndiaye M.
Out: Crull J.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Athletic Club Boise and Forward Madison finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Club Boise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Athletic Club Boise
30%
Draws
23%
Forward Madison
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athletic Club Boise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athletic Club Boise come out ahead of Forward Madison on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 20%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Boise Forward Madison
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Forward Madison
2:1
Jun 14, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Athletic Club Boise
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayaka P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bodily B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club Boise 31 / 100
Forward Madison 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Boise Forward Madison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Club Boise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club Boise scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Forward Madison's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Athletic Club Boise stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club Boise VS Forward Madison
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Club Boise

(Home)
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6

Forward Madison

(Away)
10 Oct
Westchester SC
3 : 2
Forward Madison
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0
AV Alta FC
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)