Sport Picks
Athletic Club Boise vs Monterey Bay
USA
USL Cup Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho), Boise, ID 
Match Events
9'
9'
Blancas E.
18'
18'
Blancas E.
20'
20'
Leggett W.
Assist: Nakamura R.
AI Match Summary
Athletic Club Boise in this USL Cup tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Athletic Club Boise
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Athletic Club Boise lately — more wins on the board than Monterey Bay.
- Athletic Club Boise are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Athletic Club Boise have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Athletic Club Boise, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 20%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Club Boise | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 USL Cup
Athletic Club Boise vs Monterey Bay
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletic Club Boise Compare
Top Goalscorer Kostyshyn D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gasso D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Monterey Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Blancas E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Leggett W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletic Club Boise 67 / 100
Monterey Bay 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletic Club Boise Monterey Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletic Club Boise's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 21 recent games.
Defensive concern: Monterey Bay conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
Athletic Club Boise went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Athletic Club Boise VS Monterey Bay
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletic Club Boise
(Home) 18 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0 Sacramento Republic
05 Jul
Westchester SC
0 : 1 Athletic Club Boise
03 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 2 One Knoxville
21 Jun
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 5
18 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0 Sacramento Republic
03 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 2 One Knoxville
21 Jun
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Union Omaha
11 Jun
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 3
Monterey Bay
(Away) 19 Jul
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2 Monterey Bay
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
05 Jul
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Monterey Bay
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2 Monterey Bay
05 Jul
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Monterey Bay
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0 Monterey Bay
07 Jun
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1 Monterey Bay
17 May
Athletic Club Boise
4 : 3 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spokane Velocity | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club Boise | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Lights | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 6 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Springs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Corpus Christi FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Lexington | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Union Omaha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 6 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 1 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Rhode Island | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Brooklyn FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 5 | New York Cosmos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Westchester SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Charleston | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Greenville Triumph | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Loudoun United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Miami FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Sporting Jax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Sarasota Paradise | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Naples | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 6 | South Georgia Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams