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Athletic Club Boise vs New York Cosmos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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USL League One Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho), Boise, ID
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bodily B.
39'
Holt A.
46'
Sub
Kostyshyn D. In: Moshobane T.
Out: Kostyshyn D.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Athletic Club Boise and New York Cosmos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Club Boise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Athletic Club Boise
20%
Draws
34%
New York Cosmos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletic Club Boise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athletic Club Boise come out ahead of New York Cosmos on wins alone.
  • Athletic Club Boise are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 16%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Boise New York Cosmos
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.68 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs New York Cosmos
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs Athletic Club Boise
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Bodily B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moshobane T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

New York Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Guenzatti S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club Boise 57 / 100
New York Cosmos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Boise New York Cosmos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Club Boise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Athletic Club Boise scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

New York Cosmos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Athletic Club Boise has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club Boise VS New York Cosmos
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Club Boise

(Home)
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
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New York Cosmos

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Sarasota Paradise 29 10 6 13 42:45 36
12 Corpus Christi FC 30 9 9 12 33:44 36
13 AV Alta FC 30 8 9 13 37:44 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 29 6 6 17 32:54 24
17 Richmond Kickers 30 6 5 19 32:63 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)