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Athletic Club Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine

USA USA

USL League One Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletic Club Boise host Portland Hearts of Pine in the USL League One. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Athletic Club Boise at 1.13 goals for, 2.13 against; Portland Hearts of Pine at 2 for, 2.5 against. Head-to-head, Athletic Club Boise have won 1 to Portland Hearts of Pine's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 3-0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.06, favoring Athletic Club Boise. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Athletic Club Boise
44%
Draws
20%
Portland Hearts of Pine
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portland Hearts of Pine come out ahead of Athletic Club Boise on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Boise Portland Hearts of Pine
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3-0
Apr 12, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Athletic Club Boise
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2-2
Feb 12, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Athletic Club Boise
1-1
Jan 12, 2025 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club Boise 34 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Boise Portland Hearts of Pine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club Boise scored in 89% of their last 19 games.

Portland Hearts of Pine has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Athletic Club Boise has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club Boise VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310