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Athletic Club Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho), Boise, ID
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Green K.
46'
Sub
Kostyshyn D. In: Bodily B.
Out: Kostyshyn D.
53'
Sub
Green K. In: Lopez M.
Out: Green K.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Athletic Club Boise and Portland Hearts of Pine finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Club Boise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Athletic Club Boise
35%
Draws
25%
Portland Hearts of Pine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athletic Club Boise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athletic Club Boise come out ahead of Portland Hearts of Pine on wins alone.
  • Athletic Club Boise are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 19%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Boise Portland Hearts of Pine
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Athletic Club Boise
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Bodily B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amang T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Top Goalscorer Sing D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club Boise 58 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Boise Portland Hearts of Pine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Club Boise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club Boise scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Portland Hearts of Pine has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Athletic Club Boise has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club Boise VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Club Boise

(Home)
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6

Portland Hearts of Pine

(Away)
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)