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Athletic Club vs Democrata GV

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2025 Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Amorim
36' Event
Welinton Torrao
Assist: Yuri
41'
Welinton Torrao

AI Match Summary

Athletic Club host Democrata GV in the Mineiro 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Athletic Club have averaged 1 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Democrata GV's 1.5 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Athletic Club have won 2 to Democrata GV's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.31, favoring Athletic Club. Athletic Club in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Athletic Club
40%
Draws
29%
Democrata GV
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Democrata GV demonstrates higher offensive output (1.5 avg goals) than Athletic Club (1 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Mineiro 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%
Democrata GV Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Democrata GV
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Mineiro
Democrata GV vs Athletic Club
0:0
Feb 21, 2025 Mineiro
Athletic Club vs Democrata GV
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Mineiro
Democrata GV vs Athletic Club
0:0
Jul 8, 2023 Serie D
Athletic Club vs Democrata GV
1:0
May 22, 2023 Serie D
Democrata GV vs Athletic Club
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Welinton Torrao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Democrata GV Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club 42 / 100
Democrata GV 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Democrata GV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Democrata GV let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Athletic Club went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Democrata GV lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club VS Democrata GV
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Uberlandia2
Betim FC1
Democrata GV0
Athletic Club1
Final
Uberlandia2
Athletic Club5