Sport Picks
Athletic Club vs Novorizontino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais 
Match Events
11'
11'
Diogo Batista
18'
18'
Jota
19'
19'
Nicolas Careca
Assist: Romulo
AI Match Summary
Novorizontino in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novorizontino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Novorizontino lately — more wins on the board than Athletic Club.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Novorizontino have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 10%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Club | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Novorizontino
1:4
Apr 19, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Athletic Club
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Athletic Club
1:0
May 17, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Novorizontino
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletic Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Aponza W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Novorizontino Compare
Top Goalscorer Nicolas Careca
1 Goals Assists Leader Robson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletic Club 30 / 100
Novorizontino 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletic Club Novorizontino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletic Club's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Novorizontino has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Solid form: Athletic Club remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Athletic Club VS Novorizontino
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletic Club
(Home) 06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1 Athletic Club
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
20 Aug
Athletic Club
0 : 2 CRB
Page 1 of 3
Novorizontino
(Away) 08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Novorizontino
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Novorizontino
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
16 Aug
CRB
0 : 0 Novorizontino
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
