Sport Picks
Athletic Club vs Sao Bernardo
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal 
AI Match Summary
Athletic Club host Sao Bernardo in the Serie B. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Sao Bernardo have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Athletic Club have conceded 0.88 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Athletic Club have won 0 to Sao Bernardo's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 29, 2024, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.94, favoring Sao Bernardo. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Sao Bernardo come out ahead of Athletic Club on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Club | Sao Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Athletic Club's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sao Bernardo conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Athletic Club went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 30 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17:8 | 29 |
| 6 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Bernardo | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:16 | 26 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21:15 | 26 |
| 9 | Goias | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:23 | 25 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:19 | 24 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 14:11 | 24 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 16:16 | 23 |
| 13 | Nautico | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 15 | CRB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26:31 | 20 |
| 16 | Londrina | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 19 |
| 17 | Ceara | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15:20 | 18 |
| 18 | Avai | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11:33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11:28 | 7 |