Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletic Palermo vs Sancataldese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Crivello R.
45' Event
Zalazar S.
54' Event
Barile A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Athletic Palermo and Sancataldese finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Athletic Palermo
39%
Draws
31%
Sancataldese
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athletic Palermo come out ahead of Sancataldese on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Athletic Palermo Clean Sheet 68%
Sancataldese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Palermo Sancataldese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Athletic Palermo vs Sancataldese
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Athletic Palermo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Crivello R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zalazar S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sancataldese Compare

Top Goalscorer Barile A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Palermo 41 / 100
Sancataldese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Palermo Sancataldese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Palermo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sancataldese let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Athletic Palermo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Palermo VS Sancataldese
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Palermo

(Home)
10 May
Reggina
1 : 0
Athletic Palermo
03 May
USD Ragusa
1 : 2
Athletic Palermo
26 Apr
Athletic Palermo
1 : 3
A.C. Savoia
19 Apr
Vibonese
2 : 3
Athletic Palermo
12 Apr
Athletic Palermo
0 : 3
Castrumfavara
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Sancataldese

(Away)
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Sancataldese
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1
Lamezia
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
Sancataldese
12 Apr
Sancataldese
0 : 1
Gelbison
02 Apr
Vibonese
0 : 2
Sancataldese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)