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Athletico Marseille vs Gap

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CFA - Group C 2011/2012
Athletico Marseille Logo

Athletico Marseille

1 - 0
FT
Gap Logo

Gap

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2011/2012 game between Athletico Marseille and Gap finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletico Marseille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Athletico Marseille
15%
Draws
0%
Gap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athletico Marseille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athletico Marseille come out ahead of Gap on wins alone.
  • Athletico Marseille are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Athletico Marseille Clean Sheet 16%
Gap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico Marseille Gap
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 1
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 1.77 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2012 National 1 - Group C
Athletico Marseille vs Gap
1:0
Aug 27, 2011 National 1 - Group C
Gap vs Athletico Marseille
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico Marseille 84 / 100
Gap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico Marseille Gap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico Marseille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletico Marseille found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Gap has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Gap has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Solid form: Athletico Marseille remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Athletico Marseille VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico Marseille

(Home)
14 Feb
Athletico Marseille
0 : 1
Aubagne FC
07 Feb
Saint-Zacharie
0 : 1
Athletico Marseille
19 Jan
Athletico Marseille
0 : 2
Rennes
04 Jan
Athletico Marseille
2 : 1
Rodez
07 Dec
RC Grasse
1 : 2
Athletico Marseille
Page 1 of 7

Gap

(Away)
02 Jun
Hyeres
1 : 0
Gap
26 May
Gap
1 : 2
St Etienne II
19 May
Albi
3 : 0
Gap
12 May
Gap
1 : 2
Stade Montois
04 May
Agde
3 : 1
Gap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pont Du Gard 34 20 10 4 55:29 104
2 Rodez 34 17 9 8 43:26 94
3 Monaco II 34 17 5 12 56:46 90
4 Cannes 34 15 10 9 53:39 87
5 Hyeres 34 14 11 9 40:43 87
6 Colomiers 34 13 14 7 45:30 87
7 St Etienne II 34 14 10 10 57:35 86
8 Bordeaux II 34 14 7 13 34:32 83
9 Tarbes 34 12 10 12 44:41 80
10 Stade Montois 34 11 13 10 39:35 80
11 Agde 34 11 11 12 38:35 78
12 Athletico Marseille 34 10 13 11 35:50 76
13 Pau 34 10 12 12 33:35 76
14 Marignane GCB 34 11 8 15 40:53 75
15 Beziers 34 10 10 14 39:50 74
16 Pontet 34 9 9 16 45:57 70
17 Albi 34 8 7 19 34:51 65
18 Gap 34 1 7 26 22:71 44
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)