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Athletico-PR vs Internacional

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena da Baixada
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletico-PR play Internacional in the Serie A Betano. Athletico-PR are favorites here. Recently, Athletico-PR averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Internacional averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Athletico-PR won 4, Internacional won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Athletico-PR and 1.00 for Internacional. This points to a Athletico-PR double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Athletico-PR
39%
Draws
31%
Internacional
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Internacional demonstrates higher offensive output (2.13 avg goals) than Athletico-PR (0.88 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie A Betano provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Internacional Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR Internacional
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Athletico-PR
0:1
Aug 11, 2024 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Athletico-PR
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Internacional
1:0
Sep 21, 2023 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Internacional
2:1
May 10, 2023 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Athletico-PR
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR 31 / 100
Internacional 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR Internacional

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletico-PR scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Internacional let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Athletico-PR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Internacional lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletico-PR VS Internacional
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339