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Athletico-PR U17 vs Fluminense U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17 2025
Tue, Sep 30, 2025
4 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletico-PR U17 play Fluminense U17 in the Brasileiro U17 2025. Fluminense U17 are favorites here. Recently, Athletico-PR U17 averaged 2.69 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Fluminense U17 averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Athletico-PR U17 won 1, Fluminense U17 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 30, 2025 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Athletico-PR U17 and 1.00 for Fluminense U17. This points to a Fluminense U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Athletico-PR U17
25%
Draws
60%
Fluminense U17
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Fluminense U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Athletico-PR U17 picked up more points recently compared to Fluminense U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Athletico-PR U17 Clean Sheet 23%
Fluminense U17 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR U17 Fluminense U17
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.69 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Athletico-PR U17 vs Fluminense U17
4:3
Jul 29, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Fluminense U17 vs Athletico-PR U17
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Braga
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique Rodrigues Afonso G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Fluminense U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR U17 18 / 100
Fluminense U17 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR U17 Fluminense U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Fluminense U17 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athletico-PR U17 attacking → ← attacking Fluminense U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletico-PR U17 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Fluminense U17 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Athletico-PR U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fluminense U17 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 57
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75