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Athletico-PR U17 vs Fluminense U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17 2025
Tue, Sep 30, 2025
4 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Bruno Braga
36' Event
Lopes W.
67' Event
Miguel L.

AI Match Summary

Athletico-PR U17 in this Brasileiro U17 2025 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Athletico-PR U17
20%
Draws
40%
Fluminense U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athletico-PR U17 lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense U17.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Athletico-PR U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Athletico-PR U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Athletico-PR U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR U17 Fluminense U17
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.77 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Athletico-PR U17 vs Fluminense U17
4:3
Jul 29, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Fluminense U17 vs Athletico-PR U17
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Braga
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique Rodrigues Afonso G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fluminense U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR U17 32 / 100
Fluminense U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR U17 Fluminense U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Athletico-PR U17 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Fluminense U17 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Athletico-PR U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletico-PR U17 VS Fluminense U17
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico-PR U17

(Home)
09 Sept
Athletico-PR U17
2 : 2
Santos U17
05 Sept
Flamengo RJ U17
3 : 0
Athletico-PR U17
02 Sept
Athletico-PR U17
1 : 4
Corinthians U17
26 Aug
Bragantino U17
1 : 3
Athletico-PR U17
18 Aug
Athletico-PR U17
3 : 1
Vitoria U17
Page 1 of 6

Fluminense U17

(Away)
09 Sept
America MG U17
1 : 3
Fluminense U17
06 Sept
Fluminense U17
1 : 2
Cruzeiro U17
02 Sept
EC Juventude U17
0 : 2
Fluminense U17
27 Aug
Fluminense U17
2 : 3
Palmeiras U17
19 Aug
Corinthians U17
1 : 1
Fluminense U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U17 3
Vasco U17 1
Bragantino U17 2
Gremio U17 4
Athletico-PR U17 4
Fluminense U17 3
Flamengo RJ U17 1
Atletico-MG U17 2
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U17 1
Gremio U17 2
Athletico-PR U17 2
Atletico-MG U17 3
Final
Gremio U17 4
Atletico-MG U17 5