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Athletico-PR U20 vs Vitoria U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletico-PR U20 play Vitoria U20 in the Brasileiro U20. Athletico-PR U20 are favorites here. Recently, Athletico-PR U20 averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Vitoria U20 averaged 2 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Athletico-PR U20 won 3, Vitoria U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 1, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Athletico-PR U20 and 1.00 for Vitoria U20. This points to a Athletico-PR U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Athletico-PR U20
25%
Draws
15%
Vitoria U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Athletico-PR U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Athletico-PR U20 picked up more points recently compared to Vitoria U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Athletico-PR U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Vitoria U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR U20 Vitoria U20
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 18 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.94 2
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Athletico-PR U20 vs Vitoria U20
2:0
Dec 20, 2020 Brasileiro U20
Athletico-PR U20 vs Vitoria U20
3:1
Aug 7, 2019 Brasileiro U20
Athletico-PR U20 vs Vitoria U20
2:0
Aug 1, 2017 Brasileiro U20
Athletico-PR U20 vs Vitoria U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaue Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vitoria U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR U20 59 / 100
Vitoria U20 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR U20 Vitoria U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico-PR U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Athletico-PR U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athletico-PR U20 attacking → ← attacking Vitoria U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletico-PR U20 scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Vitoria U20 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Athletico-PR U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 56
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515