Sport Picks
Athletico-PR vs Bahia
Brazil
Serie A Betano Arena da Baixada, Curitiba 
AI Match Summary
Athletico-PR host Bahia in the Serie A Betano. This has Bahia written all over it on paper. Athletico-PR have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Bahia's 1.59 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Bahia slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Bahia to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Athletico-PR lately — more wins on the board than Bahia.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on Bahia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletico-PR | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahia has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Athletico-PR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Athletico-PR scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Athletico-PR
(Home)Bahia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 56 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 33 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 33 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31:45 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | 17 |
