Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletico-PR vs Chapecoense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Bolasie Y.
45'
Julimar
46'
Sub
Portilla J. In: Zapelli B.
Out: Portilla J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Athletico-PR and Chapecoense-SC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletico-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Athletico-PR
11%
Draws
9%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Athletico-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Athletico-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Athletico-PR are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Chapecoense-SC
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Athletico-PR
2:3
May 9, 2025 Serie B
Athletico-PR vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Oct 13, 2021 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Athletico-PR
1:1
Jun 27, 2021 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Chapecoense-SC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viveros K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR 76 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR Chapecoense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapecoense-SC conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Athletico-PR found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Athletico-PR remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Athletico-PR VS Chapecoense-SC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico-PR

(Home)
25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0
Internacional
23 Jul
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Athletico-PR
11 Jul
Bragantino
2 : 1
Athletico-PR
09 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Athletico-PR
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0
Mirassol
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Chapecoense-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
Santos
2 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4
Flamengo RJ
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
04 Jul
Gremio
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
07 Jun
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 1
Avai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras20135234:1644
2Flamengo RJ19115336:1738
3Athletico-PR20113628:1936
4Fluminense2096530:2533
5Bragantino2094726:2031
6Bahia2087529:2531
7Botafogo RJ2085734:3229
8Atletico-MG2084825:2528
9Corinthians2077622:2028
10Coritiba2076725:2727
11Cruzeiro2076726:3027
12Sao Paulo2075825:2326
13Vitoria2075822:2726
14Santos2057829:3322
15Gremio2057822:2622
16Internacional2056922:2621
17Vasco2056923:3121
18Remo2056923:3221
19Mirassol1955921:2620
20Chapecoense-SC20171219:4110
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)