Sport Picks
Athletico-PR vs Gremio
Brazil
Serie A Betano Arena da Baixada, Curitiba 
Match Events
20'
20'
Viveros K.
33'
33'
Esquivel L.
35'
35'
Sub
Cruz J. In: Leo Derik
Out: Cruz J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Athletico-PR
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Athletico-PR have won more games recently than Gremio.
- Athletico-PR are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Gremio Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletico-PR | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.14 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.71 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Gremio
0:0
Aug 4, 2024 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Gremio
0:2
Apr 17, 2024 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Athletico-PR
2:0
Oct 18, 2023 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Athletico-PR
1:2
May 27, 2023 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Gremio
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletico-PR 68 / 100
Gremio 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletico-PR Gremio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ATH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Athletico-PR scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Gremio has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Athletico-PR went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Athletico-PR VS Gremio
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.63
57% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletico-PR
(Home) 25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0 Internacional
23 Jul
Sao Paulo
1 : 2 Athletico-PR
11 Jul
Bragantino
2 : 1 Athletico-PR
09 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Athletico-PR
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0 Mirassol
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0 Internacional
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0 Mirassol
17 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 1 Flamengo RJ
02 May
Athletico-PR
0 : 0 Gremio
26 Apr
Athletico-PR
3 : 1 Vitoria
Page 1 of 3
Gremio
(Away) 26 Jul
Gremio
1 : 1 Fluminense
23 Jul
Bolivar
3 : 2 Gremio
17 Jul
Mirassol
2 : 1 Gremio
12 Jul
Gremio
3 : 1 Cruzeiro
04 Jul
Gremio
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Bolivar
3 : 2 Gremio
17 Jul
Mirassol
2 : 1 Gremio
27 Jun
FC Cascavel
1 : 2 Gremio
17 May
Bahia
1 : 1 Gremio
14 May
Confianca
0 : 3 Gremio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 44 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 36:17 | 38 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 36 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30:25 | 33 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 6 | Bahia | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 28 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 28 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26:30 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | 26 |
| 14 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | 22 |
| 15 | Gremio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 18 | Remo | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:32 | 21 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | 20 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
