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Athletico-PR vs Londrina

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bruno Santos
11'
Chiqueti
37'
Mauricio

AI Match Summary

Londrina in this Paranaense tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Athletico-PR
40%
Draws
29%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Athletico-PR have won more games recently than Londrina.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Athletico-PR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Londrina, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Londrina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR Londrina
Matches Played 36 36
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Londrina
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Paranaense
Londrina vs Athletico-PR
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 Paranaense
Londrina vs Athletico-PR
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Londrina
6:0
Mar 2, 2024 Paranaense
Londrina vs Athletico-PR
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR 32 / 100
Londrina 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR Londrina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletico-PR's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Londrina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Athletico-PR stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletico-PR VS Londrina
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico-PR

(Home)
25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0
Internacional
23 Jul
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Athletico-PR
11 Jul
Bragantino
2 : 1
Athletico-PR
09 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Athletico-PR
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0
Mirassol
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Londrina

(Away)
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1
Londrina
18 Jul
Londrina
0 : 0
Botafogo SP
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Londrina
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
25 Jun
Cuiaba
2 : 2
Londrina
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Londrina3
Sao Joseense2
Foz do Iguacu1
Athletico-PR8
Azuriz0
Operario-PR4
Coritiba3
Cianorte0
Semi-finals
Londrina3
Athletico-PR2
Operario-PR5
Coritiba4
Final
Londrina0
Operario-PR1