Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletico-PR vs Londrina

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bruno Santos
11'
Chiqueti
37'
Mucuri M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Athletico-PR
30%
Draws
33%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athletico-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Athletico-PR have won more games recently than Londrina.
  • Win probability leans Londrina's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Athletico-PR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Londrina, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 23%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR Londrina
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Londrina
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Paranaense
Londrina vs Athletico-PR
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 Paranaense
Londrina vs Athletico-PR
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Londrina
6:0
Mar 2, 2024 Paranaense
Londrina vs Athletico-PR
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR 29 / 100
Londrina 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR Londrina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Londrina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Londrina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Athletico-PR has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Athletico-PR's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Athletico-PR VS Londrina
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico-PR

(Home)
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1
Bahia
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3
Athletico-PR
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Londrina

(Away)
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
01 Sept
Londrina
0 : 0
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Londrina 3
Sao Joseense 2
Foz do Iguacu 1
Athletico-PR 8
Azuriz 0
Operario-PR 4
Coritiba 3
Cianorte 0
Semi-finals
Londrina 3
Athletico-PR 2
Operario-PR 5
Coritiba 4
Final
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1