Sport Picks
Athletico-PR vs Vasco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Arena da Baixada, Curitiba 
Match Events
1'
1'
Jadson
22'
22'
Mendoza S.
Assist: Luiz Gustavo
46'
46'
Sub
Souza da Silva B. In: Bruno Duarte
Out: Souza da Silva B.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A game between Athletico-PR and Vasco finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Athletico-PR haven't matched Vasco's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Vasco have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Vasco Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletico-PR | Vasco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 36 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 4, 2026 Serie A
Athletico-PR vs Vasco
1:3
May 10, 2026 Serie A
Vasco vs Athletico-PR
1:0
Sep 12, 2024 Copa do Brasil
Athletico-PR vs Vasco
2:2
Aug 29, 2024 Copa do Brasil
Vasco vs Athletico-PR
2:1
Aug 27, 2024 Serie A
Vasco vs Athletico-PR
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletico-PR Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendoza S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Vasco Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruno Duarte
1 Goals Assists Leader Gabriel Pereira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletico-PR 32 / 100
Vasco 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletico-PR Vasco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Vasco conceded in 61% of 36 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Vasco lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Athletico-PR found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).
Scoring Trends
Athletico-PR VS Vasco
1.43 Goals Scored 1.63
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletico-PR
(Home) 04 Nov
Athletico-PR
1 : 3 Vasco
30 Oct
Gremio
2 : 0 Athletico-PR
24 Oct
Vitoria
1 : 1 Athletico-PR
17 Oct
Athletico-PR
0 : 2 Palmeiras
12 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 4 Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 7
04 Nov
Athletico-PR
1 : 3 Vasco
17 Oct
Athletico-PR
0 : 2 Palmeiras
08 Oct
Athletico-PR
2 : 2 Atletico-MG
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3 Fluminense
Page 1 of 3
Vasco
(Away) 04 Nov
Athletico-PR
1 : 3 Vasco
01 Nov
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Vasco
29 Oct
Vasco
1 : 4 Flamengo RJ
24 Oct
Vasco
3 : 2 Corinthians
21 Oct
Vasco
1 : 3 Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 8
04 Nov
Athletico-PR
1 : 3 Vasco
01 Nov
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Vasco
18 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 Vasco
14 Oct
Boca Juniors
0 : 1 Vasco
07 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2 Vasco
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | 21 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
