Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athlone vs Bray

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Athlone Town Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athlone play Bray in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Athlone averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Bray averaged 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Athlone won 1, Bray won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Athlone and 2.19 for Bray. This points to a Bray double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Athlone
19%
Draws
51%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Athlone picked up more points recently compared to Bray.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Athlone Clean Sheet 10%
Bray Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Bray
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.93 2
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Athlone
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Bray
2:1
Mar 6, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Athlone
2:1
Sep 5, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Athlone
3:1
Jun 27, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Bray
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Crawford J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tollett C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer Sammy T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 29 / 100
Bray 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Bray

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bray or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athlone attacking → ← attacking Bray

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Bray let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Athlone went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bray lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 43
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City22173243:1154
2UC Dublin22113836:2136
3Bray2297640:3034
4Cobh Ramblers2294925:3031
5Longford2277823:2728
6Wexford2276925:3027
7Kerry2267922:2725
8Athlone22661019:2724
9Finn Harps22571020:3722
10Treaty United22481021:3420