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Athlone vs Longford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Athlone Town Stadium, Athlone
Athlone Logo

Athlone

2 - 1
FT
Longford Logo

Longford

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Smith W.
32' Event
Williams D.
Penalty Missed
37' Event
Lomboto G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Athlone and Longford finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athlone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Athlone
35%
Draws
32%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Longford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Athlone a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Athlone Clean Sheet 68%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Longford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
2:1
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Athlone
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
1:2
Jun 23, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Athlone
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lomboto G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugbesia S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 59 / 100
Longford 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Longford has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Athlone went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athlone VS Longford
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Athlone

(Home)
09 Oct
Athlone
1 : 2
Treaty United
02 Oct
Athlone
2 : 1
Cork City
25 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
3 : 3
Athlone
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

Longford

(Away)
09 Oct
UC Dublin
1 : 1
Longford
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)