Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athlone vs Midleton

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Athlone Town Stadium, Athlone
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ferry P.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Connolly A.
80' Event
Farnham J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Athlone
15%
Draws
34%
Midleton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Athlone have won more games recently than Midleton.
  • Model gives Athlone a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Athlone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Athlone, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Athlone Clean Sheet 20%
Midleton Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Midleton
Matches Played 29 13
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 0
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.07 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.21 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 FAI Cup
Athlone vs Midleton
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Connolly A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farnham J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Midleton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 85 / 100
Midleton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Midleton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Midleton has conceded goals in 77% of their last 13 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Athlone stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athlone VS Midleton
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Athlone

(Home)
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2
Athlone
14 Aug
Waterford
2 : 1
Athlone
07 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Longford
03 Aug
Cork City
3 : 2
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

Midleton

(Away)
17 Jul
Athlone
3 : 0
Midleton
14 May
Midleton
2 : 0
Mayfield Utd
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6
Killester Donnycarney
20 Jul
Pike Rovers
3 : 1
Midleton
18 May
Midleton
3 : 0
St Francis
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
1/16-finals
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
1/8-finals
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Quarter-finals
Waterford -
Sligo Rovers -
Drogheda -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Dundalk -
St. Patricks -
Bohemians -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -