Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Carabali J.
18'
Weigandt M.
28'
Zambrano A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between LDU Quito and Mushuc Runa finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
LDU Quito
35%
Draws
28%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LDU Quito come out ahead of Mushuc Runa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa
0:0
May 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito
1:3
Aug 3, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa
2:1
Apr 14, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 41 / 100
Mushuc Runa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Mushuc Runa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LDU Quito scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Mushuc Runa has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

LDU Quito went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Mushuc Runa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

Mushuc Runa

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)