Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Atios and Arenteiro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atios.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arenteiro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atios's 0.87 goals per match outpaces what Arenteiro have produced (0.77).
- Model gives Arenteiro a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Atios Clean Sheet 19%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atios | Arenteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atios vs Arenteiro
1:0
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Atios
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atios 16 / 100
Arenteiro 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atios Arenteiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arenteiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arenteiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Arenteiro lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Atios scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
- VS Arenteiro
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atios
(Home) 20 Jun
Agrupacion Estudiantil
3 : 1 Atios
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4 CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
Fisterra
0 : 2 Atios
30 May
Atios
0 : 1 Paiosaco
23 May
Arzua
4 : 0 Atios
Page 1 of 6
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4 CD AS Pontes
30 May
Atios
0 : 1 Paiosaco
16 May
Atios
0 : 1 Viveiro
09 May
Atios
2 : 1 Agrupacion Estudiantil
25 Apr
Atios
2 : 2 Fisterra
Page 1 of 3
Arenteiro
(Away) 20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0 Lalin
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1 Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1 Barco
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0 Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1 Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1 Arenteiro
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0 Arenteiro
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0 Arenteiro
25 Apr
Osasuna B
1 : 0 Arenteiro
12 Apr
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenteiro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37:16 | 48 |
| 2 | Lugo B | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Somozas | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41:21 | 41 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 34:26 | 40 |
| 5 | Deportivo Fabril | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 41:27 | 32 |
| 6 | Silva SD | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 21:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Arzua | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 32:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Viveiro | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 25:39 | 28 |
| 9 | Agrupacion Estudiantil | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27:45 | 20 |
| 10 | CD AS Pontes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:40 | 19 |
| 11 | Fisterra | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 12 | Paiosaco | 22 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 16:39 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arenteiro | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 33:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:14 | 41 |
| 3 | Alondras | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:15 | 37 |
| 4 | Estradense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35:34 | 31 |
| 5 | CD Choco | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapido de Bouzas | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Barco | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Ourense CF | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:29 | 28 |
| 9 | Ribadumia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 26 |
| 10 | UD Ourense | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:32 | 25 |
| 11 | Atios | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:32 | 20 |
| 12 | Pontellas | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 12:38 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
