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Atios vs Arzua

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Atios and Arzua finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atios
15%
Draws
42%
Arzua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Arzua have managed 0.81 goals a game lately — Atios are scoring more at 0.87.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Atios Clean Sheet 20%
Arzua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atios Arzua
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 0.87 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Atios
4:0
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atios vs Arzua
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atios 36 / 100
Arzua 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atios Arzua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzua has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Arzua lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Atios's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arzua
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atios

(Home)
20 Jun
Agrupacion Estudiantil
3 : 1
Atios
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
Fisterra
0 : 2
Atios
30 May
Atios
0 : 1
Paiosaco
23 May
Arzua
4 : 0
Atios
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Arzua

(Away)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
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