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Stadium Background

Atl. Lodigiani vs Albalonga Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ferrara G.
27' Event
Dadic L.
43' Event
Bellucci R.

AI Match Summary

Albalonga in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Atl. Lodigiani
30%
Draws
62%
Albalonga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Albalonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

8% / Low Confidence
  • Atl. Lodigiani haven't matched Albalonga's recent run of results.
  • 8% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Lodigiani taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Albalonga have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 68%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Lodigiani Albalonga
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Albalonga
2:3
Mar 28, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Albalonga
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Atl. Lodigiani
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Lodigiani Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrara G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dadic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Albalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellucci R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ingretolli C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Lodigiani 77 / 100
Albalonga 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Lodigiani Albalonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Lodigiani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albalonga has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Atl. Lodigiani scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Atl. Lodigiani remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Lodigiani VS Albalonga
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Lodigiani

(Home)
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Albalonga
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Albalonga

(Away)
27 Sept
Monastir
2 : 2
Albalonga
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0
Albalonga
12 Sept
Albalonga
3 : 1
Citta di Anagni
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Albalonga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
2 Paganese 5 3 1 1 13:7 10
3 Monastir 5 3 1 1 12:8 10
4 Trastevere Calcio 5 3 1 1 8:10 10
5 Certosa V. Campagnano 5 3 0 2 8:3 9
6 Unipomezia 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
7 Albalonga 5 2 2 1 9:7 8
8 Ossese 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
9 Budoni Calcio 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Gelbison 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 Afragolese 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Aranova 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Citta di Anagni 5 2 0 3 7:10 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Latte Dolce 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
17 Atl. Lodigiani 5 0 1 4 7:14 1
18 US Venafro 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)