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Atl. Lodigiani vs Trastevere Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Esposito F.
47' Event
Iacoponi R.
60' Event
Scaffidi F.

AI Match Summary

Trastevere Calcio in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trastevere Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Atl. Lodigiani
30%
Draws
62%
Trastevere Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trastevere Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Lodigiani.
  • Atl. Lodigiani are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Trastevere Calcio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 13%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Lodigiani Trastevere Calcio
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Trastevere Calcio
2:3
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Trastevere Calcio
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Atl. Lodigiani
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Atl. Lodigiani
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Trastevere Calcio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Lodigiani Compare

Top Goalscorer Esposito F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dodde F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Iacoponi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scaffidi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Lodigiani 40 / 100
Trastevere Calcio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Lodigiani Trastevere Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Lodigiani scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Trastevere Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Atl. Lodigiani has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Lodigiani VS Trastevere Calcio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Lodigiani

(Home)
04 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

Trastevere Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 0
Citta di Anagni
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Ossese
1 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Monastir 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
4 Unipomezia 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
5 Ossese 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
6 Trastevere Calcio 6 3 2 1 8:10 11
7 Paganese 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
8 Anzio Calcio 1924 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Albalonga 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 Gelbison 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Budoni Calcio 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
12 Citta di Anagni 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
13 Aranova 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
14 Afragolese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Latte Dolce 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
17 US Venafro 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
18 Atl. Lodigiani 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)