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Atl. Lodigiani vs Valmontone

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
El Bakhtaoui F.
62' Event
Spinozzi E.
72' Event
Zona S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Atl. Lodigiani and Valmontone finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Lodigiani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Atl. Lodigiani
28%
Draws
50%
Valmontone
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Valmontone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valmontone come out ahead of Atl. Lodigiani on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Valmontone's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 22%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Lodigiani Valmontone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Valmontone
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Valmontone vs Atl. Lodigiani
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Lodigiani Compare

Top Goalscorer Spinozzi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zona S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Valmontone Compare

Top Goalscorer El Bakhtaoui F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Lodigiani 24 / 100
Valmontone 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Lodigiani Valmontone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Lodigiani's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Valmontone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Atl. Lodigiani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Lodigiani VS Valmontone
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Lodigiani

(Home)
03 May
Cassino
0 : 2
Atl. Lodigiani
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2
Real Monterotondo
19 Apr
Budoni Calcio
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0
Nocerina
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

Valmontone

(Away)
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scafatese34276175:2387
2Trastevere Calcio34179864:4660
3Monastir341581151:4453
4Flaminia341312953:3751
5Albalonga341481255:5550
6Latte Dolce341461449:4948
7Valmontone341461449:5048
8Nocerina341114936:3347
9Sarrabus Ogliastra3412101247:5146
10Budoni Calcio341291333:3245
11Palmese 19143411121141:4345
12Atl. Lodigiani3411111243:4044
13Ischia341271536:5243
14Anzio Calcio 19243410111338:4341
15Real Monterotondo341061839:5836
16Olbia348141239:5036
17Montespaccato346121647:5830
18Cassino34492124:5521
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)