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Atl. Lodigiani vs Valmontone Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
El Bakhtaoui F.
62' Event
Spinozzi E.
72' Event
Zona S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Atl. Lodigiani and Valmontone finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Lodigiani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Atl. Lodigiani
15%
Draws
78%
Valmontone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmontone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valmontone come out ahead of Atl. Lodigiani on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Valmontone's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 11%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Lodigiani Valmontone
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 1.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Valmontone
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Valmontone vs Atl. Lodigiani
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Lodigiani Compare

Top Goalscorer Spinozzi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zona S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.54

Valmontone Compare

Top Goalscorer El Bakhtaoui F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Lodigiani 10 / 100
Valmontone 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Lodigiani Valmontone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmontone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Lodigiani's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Valmontone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Atl. Lodigiani remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Lodigiani VS Valmontone
1 Goals Scored 2.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Lodigiani

(Home)
04 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

Valmontone

(Away)
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)