Sport Picks

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Atl. Madrid B vs Sabadell

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD, Alcala de Henares
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Bellotti M.
30' Event
Ortiz A.
40'
Astals D.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid B in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Madrid B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Atl. Madrid B
30%
Draws
51%
Sabadell
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabadell lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Madrid B.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 20%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B Sabadell
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Sabadell
4:3
Dec 20, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Atl. Madrid B
2:0
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Sabadell vs Atl. Madrid B
0:0
Jul 19, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sabadell vs Atl. Madrid B
2:1
Mar 18, 1990 LaLiga2
Sabadell vs Atl. Madrid B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Llorente R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Sabadell Compare

Top Goalscorer Priego J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coscia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B 32 / 100
Sabadell 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B Sabadell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabadell Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Madrid B scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Sabadell conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Atl. Madrid B remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B VS Sabadell
0.71 Goals Scored 1.13
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid B

(Home)
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
30 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
2 : 2
Torremolinos
22 Aug
CD Extremadura
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
13 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 2
Mirandes
08 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
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Sabadell

(Away)
07 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 2
Cordoba
29 Aug
Sabadell
1 : 0
Almeria
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
17 Aug
Gijon
0 : 0
Sabadell
09 Aug
Olot
0 : 3
Sabadell
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)