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Atl. Madrid B vs Sabadell

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Bellotti M.
30' Event
Ortiz A.
40'
Astals D.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid B in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Madrid B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Atl. Madrid B
22%
Draws
60%
Sabadell
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabadell lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Madrid B.
  • Sabadell are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 15%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B Sabadell
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Sabadell
4:3
Dec 20, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Atl. Madrid B
2:0
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Sabadell vs Atl. Madrid B
0:0
Jul 19, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sabadell vs Atl. Madrid B
2:1
Mar 18, 1990 LaLiga2
Sabadell vs Atl. Madrid B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Llorente R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sabadell Compare

Top Goalscorer Priego J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coscia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B 19 / 100
Sabadell 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B Sabadell

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Madrid B scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Atl. Madrid B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Sabadell conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B VS Sabadell
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428