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Atl. Madrid B vs Zaragoza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD, Alcala de Henares
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid B host Zaragoza in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Zaragoza have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Atl. Madrid B have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.6. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.75, favoring Zaragoza. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Atl. Madrid B
15%
Draws
58%
Zaragoza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zaragoza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Zaragoza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zaragoza's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 12%
Zaragoza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B Zaragoza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B 27 / 100
Zaragoza 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B Zaragoza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaragoza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid B scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Zaragoza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Atl. Madrid B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B VS Zaragoza
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid B

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
25 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 3
Villarreal B
19 Sept
Huesca
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
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Zaragoza

(Away)
04 Oct
Zaragoza
4 : 1
Teruel
25 Sept
UD Ibiza
0 : 2
Zaragoza
20 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
Antequera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
8 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 UD Ibiza 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
11 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
12 Real Madrid B 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)