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Atl. Madrid B W vs Alhama W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid B W host Alhama W in the Primera Federacion Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Atl. Madrid B W at 1.17 goals for, 1.55 against; Alhama W at 1.19 for, 1.91 against. Past meetings favor Alhama W slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.07 xG vs 2.01) point toward Atl. Madrid B W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atl. Madrid B W
15%
Draws
49%
Alhama W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alhama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Alhama W at 1.19 per game, Atl. Madrid B W at 1.17.
  • Alhama W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atl. Madrid B W Clean Sheet 10%
Alhama W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B W Alhama W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.17 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.07 2.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Alhama W
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Alhama W vs Atl. Madrid B W
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Alhama W
0:0
Oct 7, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Alhama W vs Atl. Madrid B W
2:2
Aug 27, 2021 Club Friendly Women
Alhama W vs Atl. Madrid B W
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B W 10 / 100
Alhama W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B W Alhama W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alhama W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alhama W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Atl. Madrid B W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Atl. Madrid B W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B W VS Alhama W
2.14 Goals Scored 1.88
2.14 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid B W

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid B W
4 : 8
Levante W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad B W
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B W
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid B W
5 : 3
Barcelona B W
12 Sept
Atl. Madrid B W
2 : 1
Albacete W
05 Aug
Eibar W
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid B W
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Alhama W

(Away)
04 Oct
Barcelona B W
2 : 0
Alhama W
26 Sept
Alhama W
2 : 1
Albacete W
20 Sept
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Alhama W
13 Sept
Alhama W
4 : 0
Levante W
22 Aug
Alhama W
5 : 0
Almeria W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levante W 4 3 0 1 13:9 9
2 Alhama W 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Atl. Madrid B W 4 3 0 1 13:12 9
4 CA Osasuna W 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
5 Albacete W 4 2 0 2 8:4 6
6 Cacereno W 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
7 Athletic Bilbao B W 5 1 3 1 2:7 6
8 Villarreal W 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Sport Extremadura CD W 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Barcelona B W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
11 Real Union W 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
12 Tenerife B W 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
13 Real Sociedad B W 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Real Madrid B W 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Liga F Women 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women (Promotion - Play Offs)