Sport Picks
Atl. Madrid C vs AD Torrejon
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
46'
46'
Arratia S.
52'
52'
Febre
61'
61'
Esteban S.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Atl. Madrid C and AD Torrejon finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid C
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atl. Madrid C haven't matched AD Torrejon's recent run of results.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Madrid C taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 68%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Madrid C | AD Torrejon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.33 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs AD Torrejon
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Atl. Madrid C
4:3
Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Atl. Madrid C
1:0
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs AD Torrejon
2:0
Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Atl. Madrid C
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Madrid C Compare
Top Goalscorer Esteban S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
AD Torrejon Compare
Top Goalscorer Arratia S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Febre
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Madrid C 68 / 100
AD Torrejon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Madrid C AD Torrejon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Madrid C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Madrid C scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: AD Torrejon conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Atl. Madrid C has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Madrid C VS AD Torrejon
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Madrid C
(Home) 13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1 Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1 Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
11 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 0 Union Adarve
28 Mar
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 3 Galapagar
Page 1 of 3
AD Torrejon
(Away) 13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2 AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3 CD Las Rozas
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2 AD Torrejon
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1 AD Torrejon
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3 AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
